Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 22?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 22?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$43,695 ปริมาณ
$43,695 ปริมาณ
May 22, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$43,695 ปริมาณ
$43,695 ปริมาณ
May 22, 2026
20°C or below
$687 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,677 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$3,296 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$2,937 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$8,227 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$8,914 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$7,243 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$3,447 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$2,336 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$2,749 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$1,181 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,695วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,695วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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