Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 17°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by real-time observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's official resolution station—which recorded a daily maximum of 17.8°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and national HARMONIE model runs over the past 24 hours, showing convergent forecasts of 16–17°C highs amid a cool upper-air pattern lacking ridging. Historical early-May averages near 15–16°C provide further context, with no anomalous warming signals. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and persistent cloud cover make this improbable; watch KNMI's final daily bulletin for confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 7?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 7?
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$60,245 ปริมาณ
$60,245 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$60,245 ปริมาณ
$60,245 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
9°C or below
$1,318 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$565 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$957 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$3,141 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$3,664 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$3,775 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$5,346 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$8,910 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$15,500 ปริมาณ
Yes
18°C
$8,329 ปริมาณ
No
19°C or higher
$8,739 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 17°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by real-time observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's official resolution station—which recorded a daily maximum of 17.8°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and national HARMONIE model runs over the past 24 hours, showing convergent forecasts of 16–17°C highs amid a cool upper-air pattern lacking ridging. Historical early-May averages near 15–16°C provide further context, with no anomalous warming signals. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and persistent cloud cover make this improbable; watch KNMI's final daily bulletin for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,245วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 17°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by real-time observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's official resolution station—which recorded a daily maximum of 17.8°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and national HARMONIE model runs over the past 24 hours, showing convergent forecasts of 16–17°C highs amid a cool upper-air pattern lacking ridging. Historical early-May averages near 15–16°C provide further context, with no anomalous warming signals. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and persistent cloud cover make this improbable; watch KNMI's final daily bulletin for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,245วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 17°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by real-time observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's official resolution station—which recorded a daily maximum of 17.8°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and national HARMONIE model runs over the past 24 hours, showing convergent forecasts of 16–17°C highs amid a cool upper-air pattern lacking ridging. Historical early-May averages near 15–16°C provide further context, with no anomalous warming signals. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and persistent cloud cover make this improbable; watch KNMI's final daily bulletin for confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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