**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on April 29?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 29?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,202 ปริมาณ
$102,202 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,202 ปริมาณ
$102,202 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
14°C or below
$420 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,698 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,217 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$13,436 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$8,743 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$8,000 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$19,462 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$23,012 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$13,761 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$5,357 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$7,096 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,202วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,202วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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