Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on May 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 12?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$108,466 ปริมาณ
$108,466 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$108,466 ปริมาณ
$108,466 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
18°C or below
$6,647 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$2,309 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$6,249 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$6,772 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$8,641 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$7,433 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$23,072 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$19,283 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$12,333 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$8,243 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$7,484 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$108,466วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$108,466วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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