Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on July 13?
Lowest temperature in London on July 13?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$17,673 ปริมาณ
$17,673 ปริมาณ
Jul 13, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$17,673 ปริมาณ
$17,673 ปริมาณ
Jul 13, 2026
12°C or below
$461 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$415 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$842 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$3,435 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$4,246 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$5,902 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$644 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$398 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$472 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$378 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$478 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,673วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,673วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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