Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather places Madrid's maximum temperature for August 24 in the 27–29°C range, aligning with the market's strong preference for 28°C. This reflects the typical late-summer decline in central Spain's continental climate, where average daily highs fall from July peaks near 32°C toward 28–30°C by month's end amid weakening solar insolation and shifting synoptic patterns. Earlier 2026 heatwaves have given way to more moderate conditions, with no active heat dome or anomalous ridge expected to elevate readings significantly above seasonal norms. Updated short-range guidance will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
28°C 49%
29°C 21%
27°C 18%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
49%
29°C
21%
30°C
8%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
4%
28°C 49%
29°C 21%
27°C 18%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$68 ปริมาณ
18%
28°C
$83 ปริมาณ
49%
29°C
$40 ปริมาณ
21%
30°C
$15 ปริมาณ
8%
31°C
$10 ปริมาณ
6%
32°C
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather places Madrid's maximum temperature for August 24 in the 27–29°C range, aligning with the market's strong preference for 28°C. This reflects the typical late-summer decline in central Spain's continental climate, where average daily highs fall from July peaks near 32°C toward 28–30°C by month's end amid weakening solar insolation and shifting synoptic patterns. Earlier 2026 heatwaves have given way to more moderate conditions, with no active heat dome or anomalous ridge expected to elevate readings significantly above seasonal norms. Updated short-range guidance will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$251วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather places Madrid's maximum temperature for August 24 in the 27–29°C range, aligning with the market's strong preference for 28°C. This reflects the typical late-summer decline in central Spain's continental climate, where average daily highs fall from July peaks near 32°C toward 28–30°C by month's end amid weakening solar insolation and shifting synoptic patterns. Earlier 2026 heatwaves have given way to more moderate conditions, with no active heat dome or anomalous ridge expected to elevate readings significantly above seasonal norms. Updated short-range guidance will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$251วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather places Madrid's maximum temperature for August 24 in the 27–29°C range, aligning with the market's strong preference for 28°C. This reflects the typical late-summer decline in central Spain's continental climate, where average daily highs fall from July peaks near 32°C toward 28–30°C by month's end amid weakening solar insolation and shifting synoptic patterns. Earlier 2026 heatwaves have given way to more moderate conditions, with no active heat dome or anomalous ridge expected to elevate readings significantly above seasonal norms. Updated short-range guidance will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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