Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and models such as those aggregated by AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 32°C for Tokyo on August 24, 2026, with possible showers and increased cloud cover that could limit peak heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs hover around 31°C amid high humidity and typical subtropical airflow, though brief clear periods could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Market-implied odds favor 32–33°C because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger ridging or drier conditions that would push readings higher, while cooler marine influences or rain keep sub-31°C outcomes less likely. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
32°C 37%
33°C 23%
31°C 21%
30°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
21%
32°C
37%
33°C
23%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 37%
33°C 23%
31°C 21%
30°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$1,100 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$248 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$8 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$48 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C
$7 ปริมาณ
21%
32°C
$53 ปริมาณ
37%
33°C
$31 ปริมาณ
23%
34°C
$16 ปริมาณ
7%
35°C or higher
$98 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and models such as those aggregated by AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 32°C for Tokyo on August 24, 2026, with possible showers and increased cloud cover that could limit peak heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs hover around 31°C amid high humidity and typical subtropical airflow, though brief clear periods could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Market-implied odds favor 32–33°C because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger ridging or drier conditions that would push readings higher, while cooler marine influences or rain keep sub-31°C outcomes less likely. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,615วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and models such as those aggregated by AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 32°C for Tokyo on August 24, 2026, with possible showers and increased cloud cover that could limit peak heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs hover around 31°C amid high humidity and typical subtropical airflow, though brief clear periods could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Market-implied odds favor 32–33°C because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger ridging or drier conditions that would push readings higher, while cooler marine influences or rain keep sub-31°C outcomes less likely. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,615วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and models such as those aggregated by AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 32°C for Tokyo on August 24, 2026, with possible showers and increased cloud cover that could limit peak heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs hover around 31°C amid high humidity and typical subtropical airflow, though brief clear periods could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Market-implied odds favor 32–33°C because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger ridging or drier conditions that would push readings higher, while cooler marine influences or rain keep sub-31°C outcomes less likely. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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