Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to an overnight low of 25°C in central Tokyo on August 24 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, light winds, and persistent urban heat-island effects that elevate minimums relative to surrounding rural stations. This aligns with historical August baselines near 24–25°C and current forecasts showing 24–26°C ranges, producing the tight market clustering between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Minor model spread around cloud cover and humidity could nudge readings one degree either way before official verification at the Tokyo station. Traders will monitor the final JMA update and real-time observations through the night of the 24th for any late adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
25°C 43%
26°C 37%
23°C 14%
24°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
14%
24°C
14%
25°C
43%
26°C
37%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
4%
25°C 43%
26°C 37%
23°C 14%
24°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$1 ปริมาณ
7%
23°C
$9 ปริมาณ
14%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
25°C
$17 ปริมาณ
43%
26°C
$98 ปริมาณ
37%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to an overnight low of 25°C in central Tokyo on August 24 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, light winds, and persistent urban heat-island effects that elevate minimums relative to surrounding rural stations. This aligns with historical August baselines near 24–25°C and current forecasts showing 24–26°C ranges, producing the tight market clustering between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Minor model spread around cloud cover and humidity could nudge readings one degree either way before official verification at the Tokyo station. Traders will monitor the final JMA update and real-time observations through the night of the 24th for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$145วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to an overnight low of 25°C in central Tokyo on August 24 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, light winds, and persistent urban heat-island effects that elevate minimums relative to surrounding rural stations. This aligns with historical August baselines near 24–25°C and current forecasts showing 24–26°C ranges, producing the tight market clustering between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Minor model spread around cloud cover and humidity could nudge readings one degree either way before official verification at the Tokyo station. Traders will monitor the final JMA update and real-time observations through the night of the 24th for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$145วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to an overnight low of 25°C in central Tokyo on August 24 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, light winds, and persistent urban heat-island effects that elevate minimums relative to surrounding rural stations. This aligns with historical August baselines near 24–25°C and current forecasts showing 24–26°C ranges, producing the tight market clustering between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Minor model spread around cloud cover and humidity could nudge readings one degree either way before official verification at the Tokyo station. Traders will monitor the final JMA update and real-time observations through the night of the 24th for any late adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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