Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under persistent summer monsoon conditions with high humidity and scattered thunderstorms expected on August 24, which typically cap daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of convection, producing a tight spread centered on 30–32 °C that aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical August climatology places the long-term average high near 32 °C, but active rain patterns this week have frequently held readings 1–2 °C below guidance, sustaining trader focus on the narrow band between 30 °C and 32 °C while acknowledging remaining uncertainty from the final 48-hour model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
30°C 29%
31°C 28%
32°C 24%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
28%
32°C
24%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 29%
31°C 28%
32°C 24%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$111 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$2 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$2 ปริมาณ
29%
31°C
$13 ปริมาณ
28%
32°C
$13 ปริมาณ
24%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
34°C
$7 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under persistent summer monsoon conditions with high humidity and scattered thunderstorms expected on August 24, which typically cap daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of convection, producing a tight spread centered on 30–32 °C that aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical August climatology places the long-term average high near 32 °C, but active rain patterns this week have frequently held readings 1–2 °C below guidance, sustaining trader focus on the narrow band between 30 °C and 32 °C while acknowledging remaining uncertainty from the final 48-hour model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$147วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under persistent summer monsoon conditions with high humidity and scattered thunderstorms expected on August 24, which typically cap daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of convection, producing a tight spread centered on 30–32 °C that aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical August climatology places the long-term average high near 32 °C, but active rain patterns this week have frequently held readings 1–2 °C below guidance, sustaining trader focus on the narrow band between 30 °C and 32 °C while acknowledging remaining uncertainty from the final 48-hour model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$147วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under persistent summer monsoon conditions with high humidity and scattered thunderstorms expected on August 24, which typically cap daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of convection, producing a tight spread centered on 30–32 °C that aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical August climatology places the long-term average high near 32 °C, but active rain patterns this week have frequently held readings 1–2 °C below guidance, sustaining trader focus on the narrow band between 30 °C and 32 °C while acknowledging remaining uncertainty from the final 48-hour model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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