Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 30°C (86°F) for Istanbul on August 26 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, consistent with the broader late-summer heat pattern across the region. Recent convergence of warm air masses has sustained above-average temperatures, with observed highs climbing into the low-to-mid 30s°C earlier in the week, though the specific 26th outlook shows modest moderation. Key differentiating factors among the closely matched 27–29°C market outcomes include microscale influences such as urban heat island effects at official stations, slight variations in model boundary-layer mixing, and potential timing of peak insolation. Historical August climatology places typical maxima around 29–31°C, but short-range ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observational data from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
27°C 46%
28°C 37%
29°C 26%
26°C 10%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
46%
28°C
37%
29°C
26%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
27°C 46%
28°C 37%
29°C 26%
26°C 10%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
46%
28°C
37%
29°C
26%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 30°C (86°F) for Istanbul on August 26 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, consistent with the broader late-summer heat pattern across the region. Recent convergence of warm air masses has sustained above-average temperatures, with observed highs climbing into the low-to-mid 30s°C earlier in the week, though the specific 26th outlook shows modest moderation. Key differentiating factors among the closely matched 27–29°C market outcomes include microscale influences such as urban heat island effects at official stations, slight variations in model boundary-layer mixing, and potential timing of peak insolation. Historical August climatology places typical maxima around 29–31°C, but short-range ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observational data from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย