Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, versus periods of clearer skies that allow greater surface heating. Southerly flow and elevated humidity further modulate the peak, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds a modest positive bias relative to the late-August climatological average of ~30 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
34°C 30%
33°C 28%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
28%
34°C
30%
35°C
14%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
4%
34°C 30%
33°C 28%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$5 ปริมาณ
16%
33°C
$361 ปริมาณ
28%
34°C
$166 ปริมาณ
30%
35°C
$365 ปริมาณ
14%
36°C
$180 ปริมาณ
5%
37°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, versus periods of clearer skies that allow greater surface heating. Southerly flow and elevated humidity further modulate the peak, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds a modest positive bias relative to the late-August climatological average of ~30 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,083วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, versus periods of clearer skies that allow greater surface heating. Southerly flow and elevated humidity further modulate the peak, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds a modest positive bias relative to the late-August climatological average of ~30 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,083วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including runs from ECMWF and GFS alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Beijing’s August 24 maximum near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C. Key differentiating variables include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, versus periods of clearer skies that allow greater surface heating. Southerly flow and elevated humidity further modulate the peak, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds a modest positive bias relative to the late-August climatological average of ~30 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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