Recent global and regional forecast models highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover over Beijing for August 24, driving the closely matched market odds with 19°C or below edging ahead at 40.5%. Climatological averages place late-August minimums near 21°C, but current conditions with possible thunderstorms and variable humidity could enhance or suppress cooling depending on wind patterns and sky clarity. Ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration reflect this range, with traders pricing in sensitivity to any shift in steering flows or precipitation timing that might tip the low a degree or two in either direction. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
19°C or below 80%
29°C or higher 48%
21°C 47%
23°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
80%
20°C
18%
21°C
47%
22°C
26%
23°C
38%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
48%
19°C or below 80%
29°C or higher 48%
21°C 47%
23°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
80%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
18%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
47%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
23°C
$310 ปริมาณ
38%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global and regional forecast models highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover over Beijing for August 24, driving the closely matched market odds with 19°C or below edging ahead at 40.5%. Climatological averages place late-August minimums near 21°C, but current conditions with possible thunderstorms and variable humidity could enhance or suppress cooling depending on wind patterns and sky clarity. Ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration reflect this range, with traders pricing in sensitivity to any shift in steering flows or precipitation timing that might tip the low a degree or two in either direction. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$335วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global and regional forecast models highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover over Beijing for August 24, driving the closely matched market odds with 19°C or below edging ahead at 40.5%. Climatological averages place late-August minimums near 21°C, but current conditions with possible thunderstorms and variable humidity could enhance or suppress cooling depending on wind patterns and sky clarity. Ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration reflect this range, with traders pricing in sensitivity to any shift in steering flows or precipitation timing that might tip the low a degree or two in either direction. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$335วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global and regional forecast models highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover over Beijing for August 24, driving the closely matched market odds with 19°C or below edging ahead at 40.5%. Climatological averages place late-August minimums near 21°C, but current conditions with possible thunderstorms and variable humidity could enhance or suppress cooling depending on wind patterns and sky clarity. Ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration reflect this range, with traders pricing in sensitivity to any shift in steering flows or precipitation timing that might tip the low a degree or two in either direction. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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