Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI models show Amsterdam’s August 26 maximum temperature likely settling between 23–25 °C, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Easterly flow earlier in the period has allowed modest warming, but increasing Atlantic moisture is expected to trigger scattered thundery showers that limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model spread arises mainly from differences in shower timing and coverage, with some runs keeping skies clearer for a 25 °C peak while others favor earlier or heavier precipitation that caps readings near 23 °C. Historical late-August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors slightly above-normal values. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
25°C 33%
23°C 17%
26°C 16%
24°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
17%
24°C
25%
25°C
33%
26°C
16%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
4%
25°C 33%
23°C 17%
26°C 16%
24°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$30 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C
$101 ปริมาณ
17%
24°C
$190 ปริมาณ
25%
25°C
$41 ปริมาณ
33%
26°C
$205 ปริมาณ
16%
27°C
$20 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI models show Amsterdam’s August 26 maximum temperature likely settling between 23–25 °C, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Easterly flow earlier in the period has allowed modest warming, but increasing Atlantic moisture is expected to trigger scattered thundery showers that limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model spread arises mainly from differences in shower timing and coverage, with some runs keeping skies clearer for a 25 °C peak while others favor earlier or heavier precipitation that caps readings near 23 °C. Historical late-August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors slightly above-normal values. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$622วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI models show Amsterdam’s August 26 maximum temperature likely settling between 23–25 °C, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Easterly flow earlier in the period has allowed modest warming, but increasing Atlantic moisture is expected to trigger scattered thundery showers that limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model spread arises mainly from differences in shower timing and coverage, with some runs keeping skies clearer for a 25 °C peak while others favor earlier or heavier precipitation that caps readings near 23 °C. Historical late-August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors slightly above-normal values. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$622วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI models show Amsterdam’s August 26 maximum temperature likely settling between 23–25 °C, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Easterly flow earlier in the period has allowed modest warming, but increasing Atlantic moisture is expected to trigger scattered thundery showers that limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model spread arises mainly from differences in shower timing and coverage, with some runs keeping skies clearer for a 25 °C peak while others favor earlier or heavier precipitation that caps readings near 23 °C. Historical late-August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors slightly above-normal values. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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