Trader consensus around 32–34°C for Chengdu’s July 11 high reflects tight ensemble spreads in global and regional models amid the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where afternoon convection and variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 2–4°C. Recent thundershower activity through July 9–10 has introduced moisture that may moderate insolation on the 11th, while Sichuan basin humidity and urban heat retention support readings near the seasonal 31–33°C July average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international runs show limited model agreement on exact timing of any clearing, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched and underscoring forecast sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 11?
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$130,863 ปริมาณ
$130,863 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$130,863 ปริมาณ
$130,863 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
28°C or below
$6,492 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$23,517 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$13,237 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$22,471 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$14,135 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$9,630 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$8,608 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$12,682 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$7,643 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$4,116 ปริมาณ
No
38°C or higher
$8,332 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–34°C for Chengdu’s July 11 high reflects tight ensemble spreads in global and regional models amid the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where afternoon convection and variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 2–4°C. Recent thundershower activity through July 9–10 has introduced moisture that may moderate insolation on the 11th, while Sichuan basin humidity and urban heat retention support readings near the seasonal 31–33°C July average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international runs show limited model agreement on exact timing of any clearing, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched and underscoring forecast sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$130,863วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–34°C for Chengdu’s July 11 high reflects tight ensemble spreads in global and regional models amid the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where afternoon convection and variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 2–4°C. Recent thundershower activity through July 9–10 has introduced moisture that may moderate insolation on the 11th, while Sichuan basin humidity and urban heat retention support readings near the seasonal 31–33°C July average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international runs show limited model agreement on exact timing of any clearing, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched and underscoring forecast sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$130,863วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus around 32–34°C for Chengdu’s July 11 high reflects tight ensemble spreads in global and regional models amid the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where afternoon convection and variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 2–4°C. Recent thundershower activity through July 9–10 has introduced moisture that may moderate insolation on the 11th, while Sichuan basin humidity and urban heat retention support readings near the seasonal 31–33°C July average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international runs show limited model agreement on exact timing of any clearing, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched and underscoring forecast sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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