Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on May 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 4?
8°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$110,188 ปริมาณ
$110,188 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$110,188 ปริมาณ
$110,188 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
1°C or below
$4,838 ปริมาณ
No
2°C
$457 ปริมาณ
No
3°C
$403 ปริมาณ
No
4°C
$782 ปริมาณ
No
5°C
$3,777 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$52,915 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$6,684 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$11,953 ปริมาณ
Yes
9°C
$12,820 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$9,455 ปริมาณ
No
11°C or higher
$6,105 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,188วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,188วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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