Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure are positioning Austin for another day of extreme heat on August 24, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicating a high near 102–105°F under sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations, including a 104°F reading at Austin Bergstrom on August 22, align with this trajectory amid minimal moisture and strong insolation typical of late-summer Texas climatology. These factors support the market's leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability, while limited chances for slight cooling or isolated convection keep secondary bins like 102–103°F and 106–107°F in play. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 24?
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 15%
98-99°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
55%
106-107°F
15%
108-109°F
7%
110-111°F
7%
112-113°F
5%
114°F or higher
2%
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 15%
98-99°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
98-99°F
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
100-101°F
$12 ปริมาณ
5%
102-103°F
$193 ปริมาณ
30%
104-105°F
$198 ปริมาณ
55%
106-107°F
$20 ปริมาณ
15%
108-109°F
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
110-111°F
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
112-113°F
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
114°F or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure are positioning Austin for another day of extreme heat on August 24, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicating a high near 102–105°F under sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations, including a 104°F reading at Austin Bergstrom on August 22, align with this trajectory amid minimal moisture and strong insolation typical of late-summer Texas climatology. These factors support the market's leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability, while limited chances for slight cooling or isolated convection keep secondary bins like 102–103°F and 106–107°F in play. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$488วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure are positioning Austin for another day of extreme heat on August 24, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicating a high near 102–105°F under sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations, including a 104°F reading at Austin Bergstrom on August 22, align with this trajectory amid minimal moisture and strong insolation typical of late-summer Texas climatology. These factors support the market's leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability, while limited chances for slight cooling or isolated convection keep secondary bins like 102–103°F and 106–107°F in play. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$488วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure are positioning Austin for another day of extreme heat on August 24, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicating a high near 102–105°F under sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations, including a 104°F reading at Austin Bergstrom on August 22, align with this trajectory amid minimal moisture and strong insolation typical of late-summer Texas climatology. These factors support the market's leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability, while limited chances for slight cooling or isolated convection keep secondary bins like 102–103°F and 106–107°F in play. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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