**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models positions Austin’s August 27 maximum near 101°F, driving the 41% market weight on 100-101°F.** Southerly flow and residual heat from recent 103–104°F days support upper-90s to low-100s readings, while 30–40% afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap peaks and widen the distribution toward 98–99°F (20%) and 102–103°F (18%). Historical August climatology in Central Texas shows frequent 100°F+ days under similar patterns, yet the current instability reduces odds of extremes above 103°F. Latest model runs and NWS updates showing modest moisture advection continue to anchor trader sentiment around the 100–102°F range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 27?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 27?
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
$11 ปริมาณ
2%
96-97°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
98-99°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
100-101°F
$10 ปริมาณ
41%
102-103°F
$5 ปริมาณ
18%
104-105°F
$252 ปริมาณ
5%
106-107°F
$25 ปริมาณ
4%
108-109°F
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
110-111°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
112-113°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
114°F or higher
$47 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models positions Austin’s August 27 maximum near 101°F, driving the 41% market weight on 100-101°F.** Southerly flow and residual heat from recent 103–104°F days support upper-90s to low-100s readings, while 30–40% afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap peaks and widen the distribution toward 98–99°F (20%) and 102–103°F (18%). Historical August climatology in Central Texas shows frequent 100°F+ days under similar patterns, yet the current instability reduces odds of extremes above 103°F. Latest model runs and NWS updates showing modest moisture advection continue to anchor trader sentiment around the 100–102°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$350วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models positions Austin’s August 27 maximum near 101°F, driving the 41% market weight on 100-101°F.** Southerly flow and residual heat from recent 103–104°F days support upper-90s to low-100s readings, while 30–40% afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap peaks and widen the distribution toward 98–99°F (20%) and 102–103°F (18%). Historical August climatology in Central Texas shows frequent 100°F+ days under similar patterns, yet the current instability reduces odds of extremes above 103°F. Latest model runs and NWS updates showing modest moisture advection continue to anchor trader sentiment around the 100–102°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$350วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models positions Austin’s August 27 maximum near 101°F, driving the 41% market weight on 100-101°F.** Southerly flow and residual heat from recent 103–104°F days support upper-90s to low-100s readings, while 30–40% afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap peaks and widen the distribution toward 98–99°F (20%) and 102–103°F (18%). Historical August climatology in Central Texas shows frequent 100°F+ days under similar patterns, yet the current instability reduces odds of extremes above 103°F. Latest model runs and NWS updates showing modest moisture advection continue to anchor trader sentiment around the 100–102°F range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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