Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,475 ปริมาณ
$78,475 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,475 ปริมาณ
$78,475 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
$2,009 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$1,330 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$1,985 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,937 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$2,339 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$11,503 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$11,102 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$23,833 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$4,608 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$5,678 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$11,152 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,475วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,475วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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