Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on July 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 15?
96-97°F 43%
94-95°F 25%
98-99°F 22%
100-101°F 7%
ใหม่
$12,763 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,763 ปริมาณ
Jul 15, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
22%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 43%
94-95°F 25%
98-99°F 22%
100-101°F 7%
ใหม่
$12,763 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,763 ปริมาณ
Jul 15, 2026
89°F or below
$837 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$318 ปริมาณ
2%
92-93°F
$668 ปริมาณ
3%
94-95°F
$1,517 ปริมาณ
25%
96-97°F
$7,082 ปริมาณ
43%
98-99°F
$372 ปริมาณ
22%
100-101°F
$559 ปริมาณ
7%
102-103°F
$255 ปริมาณ
2%
104-105°F
$492 ปริมาณ
1%
106-107°F
$435 ปริมาณ
<1%
108°F or higher
$251 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,763วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,763วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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