Strong model consensus from major numerical weather prediction ensembles underpins the near-certain 31°C market-implied probability for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on June 16, matching the city’s climatological June average high. In this humid subtropical monsoon climate, light steering winds, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and moderate solar insolation typically drive afternoon maxima near 30–32°C, while scattered showers and cloud cover cap extremes at official sites such as Baiyun Airport. Recent forecast runs show tight clustering around this value with limited day-to-day variability. A late reduction in convection or brief clearing that boosts insolation could permit a brief rise toward 32–33°C, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance indicate low odds of such shifts before peak heating ends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 16?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,813 ปริมาณ
$67,813 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,813 ปริมาณ
$67,813 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
$411 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$210 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$172 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,799 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,833 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$3,884 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$9,039 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$18,874 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$11,957 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$8,553 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$10,082 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from major numerical weather prediction ensembles underpins the near-certain 31°C market-implied probability for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on June 16, matching the city’s climatological June average high. In this humid subtropical monsoon climate, light steering winds, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and moderate solar insolation typically drive afternoon maxima near 30–32°C, while scattered showers and cloud cover cap extremes at official sites such as Baiyun Airport. Recent forecast runs show tight clustering around this value with limited day-to-day variability. A late reduction in convection or brief clearing that boosts insolation could permit a brief rise toward 32–33°C, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance indicate low odds of such shifts before peak heating ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,813วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from major numerical weather prediction ensembles underpins the near-certain 31°C market-implied probability for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on June 16, matching the city’s climatological June average high. In this humid subtropical monsoon climate, light steering winds, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and moderate solar insolation typically drive afternoon maxima near 30–32°C, while scattered showers and cloud cover cap extremes at official sites such as Baiyun Airport. Recent forecast runs show tight clustering around this value with limited day-to-day variability. A late reduction in convection or brief clearing that boosts insolation could permit a brief rise toward 32–33°C, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance indicate low odds of such shifts before peak heating ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,813วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Strong model consensus from major numerical weather prediction ensembles underpins the near-certain 31°C market-implied probability for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on June 16, matching the city’s climatological June average high. In this humid subtropical monsoon climate, light steering winds, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and moderate solar insolation typically drive afternoon maxima near 30–32°C, while scattered showers and cloud cover cap extremes at official sites such as Baiyun Airport. Recent forecast runs show tight clustering around this value with limited day-to-day variability. A late reduction in convection or brief clearing that boosts insolation could permit a brief rise toward 32–33°C, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance indicate low odds of such shifts before peak heating ends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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