Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies currently indicate sunny conditions and a high near 96°F for Houston on August 15, supporting the 57% market-implied probability for the 96-97°F bin. Persistent summer high pressure, southerly winds, and typical August humidity levels with dew points in the mid-70s favor peak temperatures in the mid-90s rather than extremes. Recent days of upper-90s readings under similar patterns have kept 94-95°F and 98-99°F as secondary contenders at 25.5% and 16.5%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. Final station observations at Hobby Airport will resolve the market once skies remain clear and winds stay light.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on August 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 15?
96-97°F 57%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 15%
92-93°F 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
57%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 57%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 15%
92-93°F 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
85°F or below
$170 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$308 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$476 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$443 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$536 ปริมาณ
2%
94-95°F
$1,029 ปริมาณ
26%
96-97°F
$3,773 ปริมาณ
57%
98-99°F
$1,052 ปริมาณ
15%
100-101°F
$782 ปริมาณ
1%
102-103°F
$691 ปริมาณ
<1%
104°F or higher
$568 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies currently indicate sunny conditions and a high near 96°F for Houston on August 15, supporting the 57% market-implied probability for the 96-97°F bin. Persistent summer high pressure, southerly winds, and typical August humidity levels with dew points in the mid-70s favor peak temperatures in the mid-90s rather than extremes. Recent days of upper-90s readings under similar patterns have kept 94-95°F and 98-99°F as secondary contenders at 25.5% and 16.5%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. Final station observations at Hobby Airport will resolve the market once skies remain clear and winds stay light.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,826วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies currently indicate sunny conditions and a high near 96°F for Houston on August 15, supporting the 57% market-implied probability for the 96-97°F bin. Persistent summer high pressure, southerly winds, and typical August humidity levels with dew points in the mid-70s favor peak temperatures in the mid-90s rather than extremes. Recent days of upper-90s readings under similar patterns have kept 94-95°F and 98-99°F as secondary contenders at 25.5% and 16.5%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. Final station observations at Hobby Airport will resolve the market once skies remain clear and winds stay light.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,826วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies currently indicate sunny conditions and a high near 96°F for Houston on August 15, supporting the 57% market-implied probability for the 96-97°F bin. Persistent summer high pressure, southerly winds, and typical August humidity levels with dew points in the mid-70s favor peak temperatures in the mid-90s rather than extremes. Recent days of upper-90s readings under similar patterns have kept 94-95°F and 98-99°F as secondary contenders at 25.5% and 16.5%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. Final station observations at Hobby Airport will resolve the market once skies remain clear and winds stay light.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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