Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on June 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 14?
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$52,766 ปริมาณ
$52,766 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$52,766 ปริมาณ
$52,766 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
81°F or below
$4,343 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$1,514 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$3,225 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$9,724 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$12,738 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$7,403 ปริมาณ
Yes
92-93°F
$5,470 ปริมาณ
No
94-95°F
$3,269 ปริมาณ
No
96-97°F
$3,525 ปริมาณ
No
98-99°F
$770 ปริมาณ
No
100°F or higher
$784 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,766วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,766วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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