Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on May 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 2?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$77,511 ปริมาณ
$77,511 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$77,511 ปริมาณ
$77,511 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
69°F or below
$11,965 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$5,295 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$4,606 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$8,649 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$6,957 ปริมาณ
Yes
78-79°F
$10,630 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$7,415 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$5,669 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$3,544 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$9,011 ปริมาณ
No
88°F or higher
$3,770 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,511วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,511วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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