Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on May 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 7?
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$62,169 ปริมาณ
$62,169 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$62,169 ปริมาณ
$62,169 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
63°F or below
$6,056 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$5,521 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$2,050 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$2,024 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$5,752 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$6,042 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$3,774 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$6,180 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$9,162 ปริมาณ
Yes
80-81°F
$6,367 ปริมาณ
No
82°F or higher
$9,243 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,169วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,169วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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