**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 16, 2026, reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological models and observational data.** Current conditions, including moderate June solar insolation, typical Black Sea-influenced airflow, and absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection, align with a daily maximum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs around 24–26°C, providing context for the tight market pricing. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, supporting near-certainty in the 24°C bucket. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at reporting stations, rapid afternoon convective warming, or model revisions from updated satellite or radiosonde data that could push the verified high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,231 ปริมาณ
$95,231 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,231 ปริมาณ
$95,231 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
$1,633 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$5,957 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$51,839 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$10,976 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$4,439 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,342 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,408 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$2,627 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$3,132 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,898 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$3,981 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 16, 2026, reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological models and observational data.** Current conditions, including moderate June solar insolation, typical Black Sea-influenced airflow, and absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection, align with a daily maximum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs around 24–26°C, providing context for the tight market pricing. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, supporting near-certainty in the 24°C bucket.
Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at reporting stations, rapid afternoon convective warming, or model revisions from updated satellite or radiosonde data that could push the verified high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,231วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 16, 2026, reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological models and observational data.** Current conditions, including moderate June solar insolation, typical Black Sea-influenced airflow, and absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection, align with a daily maximum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs around 24–26°C, providing context for the tight market pricing. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, supporting near-certainty in the 24°C bucket.
Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at reporting stations, rapid afternoon convective warming, or model revisions from updated satellite or radiosonde data that could push the verified high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,231วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 16, 2026, reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological models and observational data.** Current conditions, including moderate June solar insolation, typical Black Sea-influenced airflow, and absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection, align with a daily maximum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs around 24–26°C, providing context for the tight market pricing. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, supporting near-certainty in the 24°C bucket. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at reporting stations, rapid afternoon convective warming, or model revisions from updated satellite or radiosonde data that could push the verified high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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