Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 3?
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$56,768 ปริมาณ
$56,768 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
34°C or below
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$56,768 ปริมาณ
$56,768 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
34°C or below
$8,519 ปริมาณ
Yes
35°C
$5,540 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$6,464 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$6,442 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$9,358 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$7,874 ปริมาณ
No
40°C
$3,054 ปริมาณ
No
41°C
$2,936 ปริมาณ
No
42°C
$2,065 ปริมาณ
No
43°C
$2,385 ปริมาณ
No
44°C or higher
$2,130 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,768วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,768วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's highest surface air temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This positioning stems from partly cloudy conditions, 7 mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours, and isolated thundershowers that reduced solar insolation and enhanced atmospheric cooling, preventing typical pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages near 39°C were overridden by these synoptic features, including a western disturbance influence. While final data validation is routine, a challenge would require rare post hoc revisions from instrumental anomalies, as IMD quality controls ensure measurement reliability. Traders await no further shifts, with the market nearing resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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