Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on June 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 5?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,856 ปริมาณ
$32,856 ปริมาณ
Jun 5, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,856 ปริมาณ
$32,856 ปริมาณ
Jun 5, 2026
25°C or below
$405 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$493 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,393 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$4,703 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$6,371 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$6,352 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$2,754 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$3,588 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$3,244 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$2,533 ปริมาณ
No
35°C or higher
$1,021 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,856วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,856วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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