Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 21 place daily highs near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 31.5% implied probability. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and ongoing rainy-season conditions, including afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers, typically suppress maximum temperatures to the mid-20s°C range, consistent with climatological averages of 24–25°C for late August. Current model guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to 25–26°C while pricing lower odds for 27°C or higher, reflecting the narrow historical range and the moderating effect of monsoon moisture. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 21?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 21?
26°C 51%
25°C 25%
27°C 16%
29°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
25%
26°C
51%
27°C
16%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
5%
26°C 51%
25°C 25%
27°C 16%
29°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
$103 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$86 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$66 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$56 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$36 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$194 ปริมาณ
25%
26°C
$212 ปริมาณ
51%
27°C
$49 ปริมาณ
16%
28°C
$52 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$37 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C or higher
$37 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 21 place daily highs near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 31.5% implied probability. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and ongoing rainy-season conditions, including afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers, typically suppress maximum temperatures to the mid-20s°C range, consistent with climatological averages of 24–25°C for late August. Current model guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to 25–26°C while pricing lower odds for 27°C or higher, reflecting the narrow historical range and the moderating effect of monsoon moisture. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$928วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 21 place daily highs near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 31.5% implied probability. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and ongoing rainy-season conditions, including afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers, typically suppress maximum temperatures to the mid-20s°C range, consistent with climatological averages of 24–25°C for late August. Current model guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to 25–26°C while pricing lower odds for 27°C or higher, reflecting the narrow historical range and the moderating effect of monsoon moisture. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$928วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 21 place daily highs near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 31.5% implied probability. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and ongoing rainy-season conditions, including afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers, typically suppress maximum temperatures to the mid-20s°C range, consistent with climatological averages of 24–25°C for late August. Current model guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to 25–26°C while pricing lower odds for 27°C or higher, reflecting the narrow historical range and the moderating effect of monsoon moisture. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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