Trader consensus favors maximum temperatures of 34–36°C in Milan on August 3, driven by ensemble guidance from ECMWF and other global models showing a subtropical ridge advecting warm air across northern Italy. Minor differences in ridge positioning and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between these outcomes, with some runs indicating slightly stronger subsidence and clearer skies for 36°C while others suggest modest cooling from residual moisture. Above-average conditions relative to the 30–32°C August climatology reflect persistent high pressure, though model spread widens uncertainty near the 35°C threshold. Official updates from ARPA Lombardia and refined 48-hour forecasts will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on August 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 3?
35°C 34%
34°C 30%
36°C 25%
33°C or below 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
33°C or below
14%
34°C
30%
35°C
34%
36°C
25%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
4%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 34%
34°C 30%
36°C 25%
33°C or below 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
33°C or below
$1 ปริมาณ
14%
34°C
$19 ปริมาณ
30%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
38°C
$21 ปริมาณ
6%
39°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
40°C
$30 ปริมาณ
4%
41°C
$20 ปริมาณ
2%
42°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors maximum temperatures of 34–36°C in Milan on August 3, driven by ensemble guidance from ECMWF and other global models showing a subtropical ridge advecting warm air across northern Italy. Minor differences in ridge positioning and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between these outcomes, with some runs indicating slightly stronger subsidence and clearer skies for 36°C while others suggest modest cooling from residual moisture. Above-average conditions relative to the 30–32°C August climatology reflect persistent high pressure, though model spread widens uncertainty near the 35°C threshold. Official updates from ARPA Lombardia and refined 48-hour forecasts will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$128วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors maximum temperatures of 34–36°C in Milan on August 3, driven by ensemble guidance from ECMWF and other global models showing a subtropical ridge advecting warm air across northern Italy. Minor differences in ridge positioning and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between these outcomes, with some runs indicating slightly stronger subsidence and clearer skies for 36°C while others suggest modest cooling from residual moisture. Above-average conditions relative to the 30–32°C August climatology reflect persistent high pressure, though model spread widens uncertainty near the 35°C threshold. Official updates from ARPA Lombardia and refined 48-hour forecasts will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$128วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors maximum temperatures of 34–36°C in Milan on August 3, driven by ensemble guidance from ECMWF and other global models showing a subtropical ridge advecting warm air across northern Italy. Minor differences in ridge positioning and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between these outcomes, with some runs indicating slightly stronger subsidence and clearer skies for 36°C while others suggest modest cooling from residual moisture. Above-average conditions relative to the 30–32°C August climatology reflect persistent high pressure, though model spread widens uncertainty near the 35°C threshold. Official updates from ARPA Lombardia and refined 48-hour forecasts will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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