A major European heatwave driven by a strong subtropical ridge and influx of Saharan air has pushed northern Italy well above seasonal norms, with official forecasts for Milan on June 23 centering on 36–37°C under sunny skies and light winds. BBC guidance explicitly lists a 37°C high, while other models cluster near 36–97°F, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 35–37°C. Clear conditions near the summer solstice maximize daytime insolation, while the Po Valley’s topography and Milan’s urban heat island amplify afternoon peaks; slight differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model consensus and any minor westward shift in the ridge axis that could trim the daily maximum by 1°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on June 23?
34°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$45,957 ปริมาณ
$45,957 ปริมาณ
33°C or below
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$45,957 ปริมาณ
$45,957 ปริมาณ
33°C or below
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 21, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
A major European heatwave driven by a strong subtropical ridge and influx of Saharan air has pushed northern Italy well above seasonal norms, with official forecasts for Milan on June 23 centering on 36–37°C under sunny skies and light winds. BBC guidance explicitly lists a 37°C high, while other models cluster near 36–97°F, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 35–37°C. Clear conditions near the summer solstice maximize daytime insolation, while the Po Valley’s topography and Milan’s urban heat island amplify afternoon peaks; slight differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model consensus and any minor westward shift in the ridge axis that could trim the daily maximum by 1°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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