Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on May 31?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 31?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,551 ปริมาณ
$42,551 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,551 ปริมาณ
$42,551 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
25°C or below
$486 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$411 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$900 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$2,320 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$3,923 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$7,303 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$9,001 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$5,704 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$4,940 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$4,291 ปริมาณ
No
35°C or higher
$3,271 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,551วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,551วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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