Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on May 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 1?
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$69,606 ปริมาณ
$69,606 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$69,606 ปริมาณ
$69,606 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
4°C or below
$2,767 ปริมาณ
No
5°C
$2,153 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$3,438 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$14,212 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$7,985 ปริมาณ
Yes
9°C
$7,747 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$4,221 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$4,826 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$12,010 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$5,316 ปริมาณ
No
14°C or higher
$4,931 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,606วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,606วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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