Official observations from Moscow's primary meteorological stations, including Vnukovo Airport and central Balchug, confirm the highest temperature reached 24°C on May 5, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. This peak occurred midday amid southwesterly winds and initial clear skies, but incoming thunderstorms and increased cloud cover—forecast by Rosgidromet and ECMWF models—capped further warming despite pre-dawn projections up to 26°C. The reading marks the warmest day of 2026 so far, exceeding the early May climatological norm of 17°C by 7°C, with a record-warm overnight low of +14°C. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from secondary stations, though official reports rarely shift after initial tallies. Final Rosgidromet summary expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on May 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 5?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$82,511 ปริมาณ
$82,511 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$82,511 ปริมาณ
$82,511 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
19°C or below
$2,461 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,954 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,619 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,847 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$9,055 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$10,634 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$13,270 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$11,673 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$9,112 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$7,190 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$11,696 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Moscow's primary meteorological stations, including Vnukovo Airport and central Balchug, confirm the highest temperature reached 24°C on May 5, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. This peak occurred midday amid southwesterly winds and initial clear skies, but incoming thunderstorms and increased cloud cover—forecast by Rosgidromet and ECMWF models—capped further warming despite pre-dawn projections up to 26°C. The reading marks the warmest day of 2026 so far, exceeding the early May climatological norm of 17°C by 7°C, with a record-warm overnight low of +14°C. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from secondary stations, though official reports rarely shift after initial tallies. Final Rosgidromet summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,511วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Moscow's primary meteorological stations, including Vnukovo Airport and central Balchug, confirm the highest temperature reached 24°C on May 5, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. This peak occurred midday amid southwesterly winds and initial clear skies, but incoming thunderstorms and increased cloud cover—forecast by Rosgidromet and ECMWF models—capped further warming despite pre-dawn projections up to 26°C. The reading marks the warmest day of 2026 so far, exceeding the early May climatological norm of 17°C by 7°C, with a record-warm overnight low of +14°C. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from secondary stations, though official reports rarely shift after initial tallies. Final Rosgidromet summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,511วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Moscow's primary meteorological stations, including Vnukovo Airport and central Balchug, confirm the highest temperature reached 24°C on May 5, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. This peak occurred midday amid southwesterly winds and initial clear skies, but incoming thunderstorms and increased cloud cover—forecast by Rosgidromet and ECMWF models—capped further warming despite pre-dawn projections up to 26°C. The reading marks the warmest day of 2026 so far, exceeding the early May climatological norm of 17°C by 7°C, with a record-warm overnight low of +14°C. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from secondary stations, though official reports rarely shift after initial tallies. Final Rosgidromet summary expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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