Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,742 ปริมาณ
$32,742 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,742 ปริมาณ
$32,742 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย