Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 9?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,520 ปริมาณ
$52,520 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,520 ปริมาณ
$52,520 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
22°C or below
$18,815 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$4,396 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$6,806 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,633 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$2,141 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$10,075 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$2,439 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$1,890 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$2,455 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$995 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$875 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,520วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,520วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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