Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on July 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 15?
84-85°F 40%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 22%
80-81°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 15, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 40%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 22%
80-81°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 15, 2026
75°F or below
$1,638 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$200 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$61 ปริมาณ
2%
80-81°F
$226 ปริมาณ
10%
82-83°F
$60 ปริมาณ
27%
84-85°F
$160 ปริมาณ
40%
86-87°F
$226 ปริมาณ
22%
88-89°F
$197 ปริมาณ
5%
90-91°F
$631 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$719 ปริมาณ
<1%
94°F or higher
$862 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,980วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,980วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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