Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 17?
39°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$184,326 ปริมาณ
$184,326 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$184,326 ปริมาณ
$184,326 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
32°C or below
$35,676 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$2,037 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$3,702 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$4,115 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$24,145 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$19,775 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$25,631 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$35,380 ปริมาณ
Yes
40°C
$24,245 ปริมาณ
No
41°C
$6,938 ปริมาณ
No
42°C or higher
$2,682 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$184,326วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$184,326วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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