Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$264,457 ปริมาณ
$264,457 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$264,457 ปริมาณ
$264,457 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
24°C or below
$8,562 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$10,463 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$19,944 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$23,810 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$46,390 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$56,691 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$22,396 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$32,615 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$26,577 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$11,777 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$5,232 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$264,457วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$264,457วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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