Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$63,301 ปริมาณ
$63,301 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$63,301 ปริมาณ
$63,301 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
22°C or below
$1,775 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$6,671 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,278 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,144 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$2,606 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,757 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$17,729 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$8,085 ปริมาณ
Yes
30°C
$6,992 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$5,799 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$5,466 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,301วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,301วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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