Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 20?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 20?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$72,511 ปริมาณ
$72,511 ปริมาณ
May 20, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$72,511 ปริมาณ
$72,511 ปริมาณ
May 20, 2026
21°C or below
$5,900 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$65 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$88 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$94 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$755 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$5,372 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,296 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$15,665 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$14,582 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$15,098 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$12,596 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$72,511วันสิ้นสุด
May 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$72,511วันสิ้นสุด
May 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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