Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 3 clusters tightly around 36–37°C because short-range ensemble models show modest uncertainty in daytime maximums amid typical early-August subtropical conditions. Strong solar insolation combined with high boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian monsoon supports efficient surface heating, yet variable cloud cover, weak easterly flow, or minor subsidence under the North Pacific high can shift the outcome by 1°C. Historical climatology places average highs near 34°C, with 36–37°C episodes occurring mainly under clear skies and low wind speeds; any nearby tropical disturbance or increased convection would likely cap readings at or below 35°C. Fresh model guidance expected over the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions favor the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on August 3?
37°C 38%
36°C 34%
35°C 16%
38°C 12%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
9%
35°C
16%
36°C
34%
37°C
38%
38°C
12%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
6%
37°C 38%
36°C 34%
35°C 16%
38°C 12%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
9%
35°C
16%
36°C
34%
37°C
38%
38°C
12%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 3 clusters tightly around 36–37°C because short-range ensemble models show modest uncertainty in daytime maximums amid typical early-August subtropical conditions. Strong solar insolation combined with high boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian monsoon supports efficient surface heating, yet variable cloud cover, weak easterly flow, or minor subsidence under the North Pacific high can shift the outcome by 1°C. Historical climatology places average highs near 34°C, with 36–37°C episodes occurring mainly under clear skies and low wind speeds; any nearby tropical disturbance or increased convection would likely cap readings at or below 35°C. Fresh model guidance expected over the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions favor the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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