**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 20?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,426 ปริมาณ
$39,426 ปริมาณ
Jun 20, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,426 ปริมาณ
$39,426 ปริมาณ
Jun 20, 2026
26°C or below
$653 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$548 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,896 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$9,864 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$8,968 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$5,959 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$6,864 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$2,538 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$1,591 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$361 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$185 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,426วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,426วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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