Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19, driven by confirmed observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) recording a midday peak of 23°C at central stations like Nerima and Chofu, followed by steady cooling into the evening amid light winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with spring climatology, where Tokyo's April highs average 19–21°C but can reach low-20s under high-pressure influence, as seen in recent model outputs from JMA's meso-scale analysis. Scenarios challenging this include a delayed report from outlying sensors exceeding 23°C or a rare data correction, though JMA's quality-controlled readings make such revisions improbable; final daily summaries expected overnight will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 19?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 19?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$125,019 ปริมาณ
$125,019 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$125,019 ปริมาณ
$125,019 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
16°C or below
$1,769 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$1,813 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$4,774 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,832 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,957 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$9,194 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$10,134 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$25,855 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$21,952 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$25,795 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$16,945 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19, driven by confirmed observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) recording a midday peak of 23°C at central stations like Nerima and Chofu, followed by steady cooling into the evening amid light winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with spring climatology, where Tokyo's April highs average 19–21°C but can reach low-20s under high-pressure influence, as seen in recent model outputs from JMA's meso-scale analysis. Scenarios challenging this include a delayed report from outlying sensors exceeding 23°C or a rare data correction, though JMA's quality-controlled readings make such revisions improbable; final daily summaries expected overnight will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125,019วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19, driven by confirmed observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) recording a midday peak of 23°C at central stations like Nerima and Chofu, followed by steady cooling into the evening amid light winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with spring climatology, where Tokyo's April highs average 19–21°C but can reach low-20s under high-pressure influence, as seen in recent model outputs from JMA's meso-scale analysis. Scenarios challenging this include a delayed report from outlying sensors exceeding 23°C or a rare data correction, though JMA's quality-controlled readings make such revisions improbable; final daily summaries expected overnight will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125,019วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19, driven by confirmed observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) recording a midday peak of 23°C at central stations like Nerima and Chofu, followed by steady cooling into the evening amid light winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with spring climatology, where Tokyo's April highs average 19–21°C but can reach low-20s under high-pressure influence, as seen in recent model outputs from JMA's meso-scale analysis. Scenarios challenging this include a delayed report from outlying sensors exceeding 23°C or a rare data correction, though JMA's quality-controlled readings make such revisions improbable; final daily summaries expected overnight will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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