Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 27, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicating rain turning cloudy later, with a daytime high of 18–21°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation probabilities exceeding 50% midday. This positioning reflects current observations peaking near 20°C amid cool sea breezes and limited solar heating, consistent with late-April climatology where historical highs average 21°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to exceed 21°C, though diminishing sun angles and model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) show low likelihood; monitor JMA's evening update for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 27?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 27?
20°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$263,053 ปริมาณ
$263,053 ปริมาณ
Apr 27, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$263,053 ปริมาณ
$263,053 ปริมาณ
Apr 27, 2026
11°C or below
$1,696 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$2,367 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,290 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$18,003 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$18,754 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$35,040 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$21,947 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$30,815 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$33,516 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$44,866 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C or higher
$53,757 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 27, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicating rain turning cloudy later, with a daytime high of 18–21°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation probabilities exceeding 50% midday. This positioning reflects current observations peaking near 20°C amid cool sea breezes and limited solar heating, consistent with late-April climatology where historical highs average 21°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to exceed 21°C, though diminishing sun angles and model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) show low likelihood; monitor JMA's evening update for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$263,053วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 27, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicating rain turning cloudy later, with a daytime high of 18–21°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation probabilities exceeding 50% midday. This positioning reflects current observations peaking near 20°C amid cool sea breezes and limited solar heating, consistent with late-April climatology where historical highs average 21°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to exceed 21°C, though diminishing sun angles and model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) show low likelihood; monitor JMA's evening update for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$263,053วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 27, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast indicating rain turning cloudy later, with a daytime high of 18–21°C under persistent overcast skies and precipitation probabilities exceeding 50% midday. This positioning reflects current observations peaking near 20°C amid cool sea breezes and limited solar heating, consistent with late-April climatology where historical highs average 21°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to exceed 21°C, though diminishing sun angles and model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) show low likelihood; monitor JMA's evening update for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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