Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,497 ปริมาณ
$84,497 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,497 ปริมาณ
$84,497 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
$1,773 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$8,736 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$6,109 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$15,825 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$8,516 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$14,643 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C
$9,951 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$9,600 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$5,230 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$2,158 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$1,956 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84,497วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84,497วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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