Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 24?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 24?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,164 ปริมาณ
$45,164 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,164 ปริมาณ
$45,164 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
22°C or below
$332 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$882 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,966 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$5,172 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,555 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$8,816 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$6,645 ปริมาณ
Yes
29°C
$8,405 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$4,704 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$3,463 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$1,223 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,164วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,164วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย