**Forecast consensus from MetService and international models points to a maximum of 14°C in Wellington on June 18, 2026, under mild winter conditions typical for the region.** Wellington’s June climatology shows average daily highs near 13°C, with rare excursions above 16°C. Current model runs align on a peak of 14°C amid light northerly flow, limited cloud cover, and stable pressure patterns that prevent significant warming or cooling. Recent days have recorded similar maxima (12–16°C), reinforcing the tight clustering around 14°C in the market. This 94% implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty on resolution day. A realistic challenge would require a rapid shift in steering flow or unanticipated insolation that pushes the observed high to 15°C or higher, though model agreement and seasonal norms make such an outcome unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,372 ปริมาณ
$70,372 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,372 ปริมาณ
$70,372 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
8°C or below
$300 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$256 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$594 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$954 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$2,676 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$7,790 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$25,283 ปริมาณ
Yes
15°C
$12,918 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$10,939 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$7,003 ปริมาณ
No
18°C or higher
$1,658 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from MetService and international models points to a maximum of 14°C in Wellington on June 18, 2026, under mild winter conditions typical for the region.**
Wellington’s June climatology shows average daily highs near 13°C, with rare excursions above 16°C. Current model runs align on a peak of 14°C amid light northerly flow, limited cloud cover, and stable pressure patterns that prevent significant warming or cooling. Recent days have recorded similar maxima (12–16°C), reinforcing the tight clustering around 14°C in the market.
This 94% implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty on resolution day. A realistic challenge would require a rapid shift in steering flow or unanticipated insolation that pushes the observed high to 15°C or higher, though model agreement and seasonal norms make such an outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,372วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from MetService and international models points to a maximum of 14°C in Wellington on June 18, 2026, under mild winter conditions typical for the region.**
Wellington’s June climatology shows average daily highs near 13°C, with rare excursions above 16°C. Current model runs align on a peak of 14°C amid light northerly flow, limited cloud cover, and stable pressure patterns that prevent significant warming or cooling. Recent days have recorded similar maxima (12–16°C), reinforcing the tight clustering around 14°C in the market.
This 94% implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty on resolution day. A realistic challenge would require a rapid shift in steering flow or unanticipated insolation that pushes the observed high to 15°C or higher, though model agreement and seasonal norms make such an outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,372วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Forecast consensus from MetService and international models points to a maximum of 14°C in Wellington on June 18, 2026, under mild winter conditions typical for the region.** Wellington’s June climatology shows average daily highs near 13°C, with rare excursions above 16°C. Current model runs align on a peak of 14°C amid light northerly flow, limited cloud cover, and stable pressure patterns that prevent significant warming or cooling. Recent days have recorded similar maxima (12–16°C), reinforcing the tight clustering around 14°C in the market. This 94% implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty on resolution day. A realistic challenge would require a rapid shift in steering flow or unanticipated insolation that pushes the observed high to 15°C or higher, though model agreement and seasonal norms make such an outcome unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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