Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$80,284 ปริมาณ
$80,284 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$80,284 ปริมาณ
$80,284 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
10°C or below
$347 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$534 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$277 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$928 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$6,928 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$9,565 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$7,705 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$11,434 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$11,901 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$11,825 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$18,840 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,284วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,284วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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