Forecast uncertainty for July 17 stems primarily from the East Asian summer monsoon’s variable influence on Seoul, where cloud cover, rainfall timing, and nocturnal radiative cooling can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Current model consensus points to typical mid-July conditions with lows near 22–24 °C, yet the near-even split between the 28 °C+ and 18 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader assessment of possible deviations: clearer, drier air masses could allow stronger cooling toward the lower threshold, while persistent humidity, weak winds, or warm advection might keep readings elevated. Historical July minimums average 22–23 °C, underscoring how modest changes in steering patterns or precipitation timing—key variables monitored by Korea Meteorological Administration updates—can swing the recorded low across market thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on July 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 17?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$26,227 ปริมาณ
$26,227 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$26,227 ปริมาณ
$26,227 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,857 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,078 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,050 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,247 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,788 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$8,879 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$3,399 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,259 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$2,105 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$839 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$726 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for July 17 stems primarily from the East Asian summer monsoon’s variable influence on Seoul, where cloud cover, rainfall timing, and nocturnal radiative cooling can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Current model consensus points to typical mid-July conditions with lows near 22–24 °C, yet the near-even split between the 28 °C+ and 18 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader assessment of possible deviations: clearer, drier air masses could allow stronger cooling toward the lower threshold, while persistent humidity, weak winds, or warm advection might keep readings elevated. Historical July minimums average 22–23 °C, underscoring how modest changes in steering patterns or precipitation timing—key variables monitored by Korea Meteorological Administration updates—can swing the recorded low across market thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,227วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for July 17 stems primarily from the East Asian summer monsoon’s variable influence on Seoul, where cloud cover, rainfall timing, and nocturnal radiative cooling can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Current model consensus points to typical mid-July conditions with lows near 22–24 °C, yet the near-even split between the 28 °C+ and 18 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader assessment of possible deviations: clearer, drier air masses could allow stronger cooling toward the lower threshold, while persistent humidity, weak winds, or warm advection might keep readings elevated. Historical July minimums average 22–23 °C, underscoring how modest changes in steering patterns or precipitation timing—key variables monitored by Korea Meteorological Administration updates—can swing the recorded low across market thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,227วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Forecast uncertainty for July 17 stems primarily from the East Asian summer monsoon’s variable influence on Seoul, where cloud cover, rainfall timing, and nocturnal radiative cooling can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Current model consensus points to typical mid-July conditions with lows near 22–24 °C, yet the near-even split between the 28 °C+ and 18 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader assessment of possible deviations: clearer, drier air masses could allow stronger cooling toward the lower threshold, while persistent humidity, weak winds, or warm advection might keep readings elevated. Historical July minimums average 22–23 °C, underscoring how modest changes in steering patterns or precipitation timing—key variables monitored by Korea Meteorological Administration updates—can swing the recorded low across market thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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