Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on May 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 22?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$96,028 ปริมาณ
$96,028 ปริมาณ
May 22, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$96,028 ปริมาณ
$96,028 ปริมาณ
May 22, 2026
9°C or below
$436 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$2,392 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$806 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$2,356 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$3,667 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$3,594 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$13,730 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$12,169 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$14,495 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$25,863 ปริมาณ
No
19°C or higher
$16,520 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96,028วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96,028วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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